I had read a few years back that you are statistically more likely to die on January 1 than on any other day, which would make more sense than dying on your birthday. I would have to think for obvious reasons, February 29 would be the least likely death date, although it didn't help Davy Jones this year.

mikemoto: I had read a few years back that you are statistically more likely to die on January 1 than on any other day, which would make more sense than dying on your birthday. I would have to think for obvious reasons, February 29 would be the least likely death date, although it didn't help Davy Jones this year.

No, January 1 makes less sense. On your nth birthday, you've been alive on (n+1) days with that date, n days of all other dates (except 2/29). Other than people born on 2/29, you'll never be alive on more days of a particular date than your birthday.

jbc: mikemoto: I had read a few years back that you are statistically more likely to die on January 1 than on any other day, which would make more sense than dying on your birthday. I would have to think for obvious reasons, February 29 would be the least likely death date, although it didn't help Davy Jones this year.

No, January 1 makes less sense. On your nth birthday, you've been alive on (n+1) days with that date, n days of all other dates (except 2/29). Other than people born on 2/29, you'll never be alive on more days of a particular date than your birthday.

There are a lot of drunk and sleepy drivers on the road early January 1, probably ten times the amount of any other night of the year.

Splish: jbc: mikemoto: I had read a few years back that you are statistically more likely to die on January 1 than on any other day, which would make more sense than dying on your birthday. I would have to think for obvious reasons, February 29 would be the least likely death date, although it didn't help Davy Jones this year.

No, January 1 makes less sense. On your nth birthday, you've been alive on (n+1) days with that date, n days of all other dates (except 2/29). Other than people born on 2/29, you'll never be alive on more days of a particular date than your birthday.

There are a lot of drunk and sleepy drivers on the road early January 1, probably ten times the amount of any other night of the year.

Car accidents are only the 5th most common cause of death in the US, responsible for 4.4% of deaths. The added risk of amateur hour is negligible.

I'd kill Shia LeBouf to keep Gene Wilder alive longer.

Actor Charlie Chaplin died on the day of my birth, but I do not believe that to be quite the same thing.

Get Momo agrees

If we work together, we can make Shia Lebouf happen

+1 Subby.

Whew .. my birthday was yesterday.

So I'm good for another year, right?

I actually LOL'd at the headline. Nice work subby.

Now Im trying to figure out how i can afford to send LeBouf a birthday cake once a week.

Happened to my brother.
He was stillborn.

jbc: Splish: jbc: mikemoto: I had read a few years back that you are statistically more likely to die on January 1 than on any other day, which would make more sense than dying on your birthday. I would have to think for obvious reasons, February 29 would be the least likely death date, although it didn't help Davy Jones this year.

No, January 1 makes less sense. On your nth birthday, you've been alive on (n+1) days with that date, n days of all other dates (except 2/29). Other than people born on 2/29, you'll never be alive on more days of a particular date than your birthday.

There are a lot of drunk and sleepy drivers on the road early January 1, probably ten times the amount of any other night of the year.

Car accidents are only the 5th most common cause of death in the US, responsible for 4.4% of deaths. The added risk of amateur hour is negligible.

I think you are dealing with very small differences anyways so a "negligible" difference might be all you need.

For Canada, I think the coldest day of the year might have an impact. I would think the hottest day in the US might be the deadliest day.

Makes sense. You're old, set in your routine, and then on your birthday you move around in new unfamiliar environments, maybe have a drink, there's more stress. Ack! *thump*

I'm pretty sure I will die around my birthday, but only because that's the time of year when I have the worst luck.

R.I.P. Dewey & LeBoeuf

No, really.

I survived my birth day. Everyone here did, unless you're posting from the womb.

jbc: mikemoto: I had read a few years back that you are statistically more likely to die on January 1 than on any other day, which would make more sense than dying on your birthday. I would have to think for obvious reasons, February 29 would be the least likely death date, although it didn't help Davy Jones this year.

No, January 1 makes less sense. On your nth birthday, you've been alive on (n+1) days with that date, n days of all other dates (except 2/29). Other than people born on 2/29, you'll never be alive on more days of a particular date than your birthday.

Way to ruin the fun with rational explanations.

Mr. Potatoass: Happened to my brother.
He was stillborn.

Murderer.

Mr. Potatoass: Happened to my brother.
He was stillborn.

I'm going to guess that's actually the logical answer.

gilbyguy: Whew .. my birthday was yesterday.

So I'm good for another year, right?


Mine too....happy belated!

stonicus: I survived my birth day. Everyone here did, unless you're posting from the womb.

I am. Can someone please tell my mom to stop playing that farking Mozart. It isn't going to make me smarter.

Otto's_Jacket: gilbyguy: Whew .. my birthday was yesterday.

So I'm good for another year, right?


Mine too....happy belated!

Now Kiss

Mr. Potatoass: Happened to my brother.
He was stillborn.

Actually, when reading the article, I thought that children dying the day they were born would be heavily influencing the statistic. They didn't mention it. In my extended family, I have 3 who did, one little girl and fraternal twins.

jbc: mikemoto: I had read a few years back that you are statistically more likely to die on January 1 than on any other day, which would make more sense than dying on your birthday. I would have to think for obvious reasons, February 29 would be the least likely death date, although it didn't help Davy Jones this year.

No, January 1 makes less sense. On your nth birthday, you've been alive on (n+1) days with that date, n days of all other dates (except 2/29). Other than people born on 2/29, you'll never be alive on more days of a particular date than your birthday.

Math biatches.

Someone check up on Hugh Laurie too

Not sure what Subby's issue with Labeouf is. Mine is that he had Megan Fox and Carey Mulligan -- and I didn't. Reason enough for him to die.

Russ1642: stonicus: I survived my birth day. Everyone here did, unless you're posting from the womb.

I am. Can someone please tell my mom to stop playing that farking Mozart. It isn't going to make me smarter.

We actually did this, but a dozen years later he prefers Vivaldi. Go figure.

I don't get the headline. Wilder and Montana?

FTA... Research has shown that you are more likely to die on your birthday than any other day of the year.

I get that statistically, on your birthday, you have been alive more times on "that date" than any other, but walk through a graveyard and check dates of birth and death on the headstones. This statement will then be easily disproved. I used to do that a lot as a kid at the cemetery where my grandmother was buried. I think there was only three that died on their birthday, out of 300 to 400 or so, and one of those was a baby that died on his birthday. (Less than one day old.) I don't see how you're more likely to die on your birthday than ANY other day of the year, maybe a specific date vs. your birthday...

stonicus: I survived my birth day. Everyone here did, unless you're posting from the womb.

If you include the actual day of birth then there's no question that someone is most likely to die on that day. Birth is dangerous. It's by far the most dangerous day of your life. If you only include people who survive to a year old the odds even out a bit.

Wayne 985: I don't get the headline. Wilder and Montana?

Today is their birthday.

Splish: stonicus: I survived my birth day. Everyone here did, unless you're posting from the womb.

If you include the actual day of birth then there's no question that someone is most likely to die on that day. Birth is dangerous. It's by far the most dangerous day of your life. If you only include people who survive to a year old the odds even out a bit.

I was wondering if they factored that into the study, but it doesn't mention it.

mikemoto: I had read a few years back that you are statistically more likely to die on January 1 than on any other day

for certain legal reasons, sometimes the issuance of the death certificate is "delayed" into the new year, or they just keep them plugged in until jan 1

Russ1642: stonicus: I survived my birth day. Everyone here did, unless you're posting from the womb.

I am. Can someone please tell my mom to stop playing that farking Mozart. It isn't going to make me smarter.

HEY. Mrs RUSS, you can go ahead and put back on the Luther Vandross. Baby Russ is going to just dig ditches.
/I'm posting from your Mom's Womb too...ifyouknowwhatImean.

Gene Wilder is 79????

Today is my birthday so I'm really getting a kick...

What are the odds? 1 in 10,000 I'd say.

ChipNASA: Mr. Potatoass: Happened to my brother.
He was stillborn.

Murderer.



There can be only one.

robertmeerdahl: mikemoto: I had read a few years back that you are statistically more likely to die on January 1 than on any other day

for certain legal reasons, sometimes the issuance of the death certificate is "delayed" into the new year, or they just keep them plugged in until jan 1

/It's more likely than you think.....

having wandered around in a lot of cemeteries i doubt this.

the article and the one linked talk about 14% increases etc but since there are 365 days on which to die ............. i don't know where i'm going with this but i still doubt it.

BigEd: FTA... Research has shown that you are more likely to die on your birthday than any other day of the year.

I get that statistically, on your birthday, you have been alive more times on "that date" than any other, but walk through a graveyard and check dates of birth and death on the headstones. This statement will then be easily disproved. I used to do that a lot as a kid at the cemetery where my grandmother was buried. I think there was only three that died on their birthday, out of 300 to 400 or so, and one of those was a baby that died on his birthday. (Less than one day old.) I don't see how you're more likely to die on your birthday than ANY other day of the year, maybe a specific date vs. your birthday...

If I were to hazard a guess, I'd suggest that one's birthday is traditionally a day for doing stupid shiat, which translates to a higher risk. In light of the number of people who find birthdays depressing, I can't be too surprised by the uptick in suicides either.

gotons: Today is my birthday so I'm really getting a kick...

R.I.P.

A woman I work with has this theory that if you are alive on your birthday you are guaranteed to live until the next year.

Great for her whose birthday is Feb 27
Sucks for me December 22

I am so farked.

That was the stupidest article I've ever read. Seriously.

If you want to 'get crazy' on your birthday, that's one thing. But, the universe doesn't know it's your birthday.

You have the same chance of dying on every day of the year.

/end of story
//rant.
///lawn - get off.

Simple statistics make this obvious - the older you are, the more birthdays you have, since you are more likely to die as you get older, you are more likely to die on your birthday.
QED

gotons: Today is my birthday so I'm really getting a kick...

Happy Birthday...and good luck!

If I'm not back next Monday, check the obits.

BigEd: FTA... Research has shown that you are more likely to die on your birthday than any other day of the year.

I get that statistically, on your birthday, you have been alive more times on "that date" than any other, but walk through a graveyard and check dates of birth and death on the headstones. This statement will then be easily disproved. I used to do that a lot as a kid at the cemetery where my grandmother was buried. I think there was only three that died on their birthday, out of 300 to 400 or so, and one of those was a baby that died on his birthday. (Less than one day old.) I don't see how you're more likely to die on your birthday than ANY other day of the year, maybe a specific date vs. your birthday...


a) First, there's a noticeable rise in heart attacks, accidents, etc., on one's birthday. For example, there is a 35% rise of suicides on birthdays.

b) It's not like more than 50% of the population die on their birthdays. It's just that all things being equal, there's a larger than 1/365 chance that you die on our birthday.

c) Another reason for this is because you experience more of your birthdays than any other day. This is related to Benford's Law.

llort dam eht: A woman I work with has this theory that if you are alive on your birthday you are guaranteed to live until the next year.

Great for her whose birthday is Feb 27
Sucks for me December 22

I am so farked.

I'm sorry you have to work with someone that stupid.

BigEd: I think there was only three that died on their birthday, out of 300 to 400 or so, and one of those was a baby that died on his birthday.

Even if we exclude the baby, that makes two dead on their birthday. Using your upper bound on the number of tombstones, 400, we would get a rate of 1/200 dying on their birthday. Given that a year is 365 days, we would expect an average day to have roughly 1/365 chance of death if death dates were randomly distributed. Your data shows a stronger correlation between birthday and death than the linked article, and that's with my decision to find the minimum likelihood of death on birthday that your statement's would support.

Not so "easily disproved", huh?

RibbyK: [www.wearysloth.com image 320x240]

Get Momo agrees

Momo? Where do you guys come up with these names?

/Chili