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  • "All of this leaves Mr. Romney drawing to an inside straight. I hope you'll excuse the cliche, but it's appropriate here: in poker, making an inside straight requires you to catch one of 4 cards out of 48 remaining in the deck, the chances of which are about 8 percent. Those are now about Mr. Romney's chances of winning the Electoral College, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast"
  • Grand_Moff_Joseph: "All of this leaves Mr. Romney drawing to an inside straight. I hope you'll excuse the cliche, but it's appropriate here: in poker, making an inside straight requires you to catch one of 4 cards out of 48 remaining in the deck, the chances of which are about 8 percent. Those are now about Mr. Romney's chances of winning the Electoral College, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast"


    Which makes it a good time to put the GOP "all-in" because you know those fish will call.
  • Haven't clicked it yet but my prediction for tomorrow is Obama by 6% with a 55% voter turnout. let's see how close i am...
  • Tellingthem: Haven't clicked it yet but my prediction for tomorrow is Obama by 6% with a 55% voter turnout. let's see how close i am...


    The FiveThirtyEight forecast of the national popular vote is within this range, projecting Mr. Obama's most likely margin of victory to be two or three percentage points,

    Damn that is closer than I thought...
  • Tellingthem: Tellingthem: Haven't clicked it yet but my prediction for tomorrow is Obama by 6% with a 55% voter turnout. let's see how close i am...

    The FiveThirtyEight forecast of the national popular vote is within this range, projecting Mr. Obama's most likely margin of victory to be two or three percentage points,

    Damn that is closer than I thought...


    the race not my prediction...I'm going to bed now...
  • Tellingthem: Tellingthem: Haven't clicked it yet but my prediction for tomorrow is Obama by 6% with a 55% voter turnout. let's see how close i am...

    The FiveThirtyEight forecast of the national popular vote is within this range, projecting Mr. Obama's most likely margin of victory to be two or three percentage points,

    Damn that is closer than I thought...


    And it really highlights WHY we can't have nice things.

    I foresee the winner being hotly conested.
  • Interesting that FL changed over to a slight lead for Obama on the last day. I think it was around %55 Romney just yesterday now it's %52.5 Obama. This is the only comment he makes "Florida remains too close to call. The FiveThirtyEight forecast has the race there within two-tenths of a percentage point, which would be close enough to trigger an automatic recount." Kind of strange that there is a 7 point swing in one day and that's all that's said. If Obama takes Florida this one will be over early.
  • "I have a bad feeling about this..."

    "That's no moon...that's Obama's campaign bus!"
  • Well, I just went to TrueFreedomF-150JesusPoll.org and they're using actual science to prove that Romney is going to win with 1,076 Electoral Votes AND that he'll win the popular vote six billion to zero, as people around the world hold spontaneous elections demanding a Romney presidency and giving the Republicans a majority of 15,265-0 in the House.

    Of course, they'll still blame Democrat obstructionism on that abortion ban they keep promising, but...
  • I'm not gonna unclench until the magic number 270 show up and corks start flying at the Obama campaign HQ.
  • I hope the guy is right, supreme court justice appointees alone are a reason to fear a bishop president.
  • Grand_Moff_Joseph: "All of this leaves Mr. Romney drawing to an inside straight. I hope you'll excuse the cliche, but it's appropriate here: in poker, making an inside straight requires you to catch one of 4 cards out of 48 remaining in the deck, the chances of which are about 8 percent. Those are now about Mr. Romney's chances of winning the Electoral College, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast"


    And boom goes the dynamite.
  • Headso: I hope the guy is right, supreme court justice appointees alone are a reason to fear a bishop president.


    As opposed to a Catholic one? Or a Muslim? Or a Jew?
  • MemeSlave: Headso: I hope the guy is right, supreme court justice appointees alone are a reason to fear a bishop president.

    As opposed to a Catholic one? Or a Muslim? Or a Jew?


    Yes.
  • Mr. Coffee Nerves: Well, I just went to TrueFreedomF-150JesusPoll.org and they're using actual science to prove that Romney is going to win with 1,076 Electoral Votes AND that he'll win the popular vote six billion to zero, as people around the world hold spontaneous elections demanding a Romney presidency and giving the Republicans a majority of 15,265-0 in the House.

    Of course, they'll still blame Democrat obstructionism on that abortion ban they keep promising, but...


    I went to "truefreedomf-150jesuspoll.org" so that I can keep my hopes up for a Romney victory but I got this instead... "Firefox can't find the server at truefreedomf-150jesuspoll.org."

    YOU LIE. Why would you keep my hopes up with a fake link? 

    I'm predicting Romney wins every state except for that Chinese communist state of Hawaii.
  • theorellior: I'm not gonna unclench until the magic number 270 show up and corks start flying at the Obama campaign HQ.


    I'll be clenching right along with you.
  • I elected to ignore the pollsters and look at the bookies, people who are the most inclined to be objective. Currently Obama is pretty heavily favored.
  • MemeSlave: Headso: I hope the guy is right, supreme court justice appointees alone are a reason to fear a bishop president.

    As opposed to a Catholic one? Or a Muslim? Or a Jew?


    Or a queen, king, knight, rook, pawn?
  • sammyk: Interesting that FL changed over to a slight lead for Obama on the last day. I think it was around %55 Romney just yesterday now it's %52.5 Obama. This is the only comment he makes "Florida remains too close to call. The FiveThirtyEight forecast has the race there within two-tenths of a percentage point, which would be close enough to trigger an automatic recount." Kind of strange that there is a 7 point swing in one day and that's all that's said. If Obama takes Florida this one will be over early.


    Doubt it will be called til very late. Polls don't close in the panhandle until 8 eastern, will be prolly midnight before close to calling it.
  • MemeSlave: Headso: I hope the guy is right, supreme court justice appointees alone are a reason to fear a bishop president.

    As opposed to a Catholic one? Or a Muslim? Or a Jew?


    any high level religious figure, he's not just a mormon he's a mormon bishop, so yeah a catholic bishop running for president would be just as bad as would their muslim and jewish counterparts.
  • MemeSlave: As opposed to a Catholic one? Or a Muslim? Or a Jew?


    Call me when a Catholic bishop, a rabbi or an imam are running for president.
  • Even With A Chainsaw: MemeSlave: Headso: I hope the guy is right, supreme court justice appointees alone are a reason to fear a bishop president.

    As opposed to a Catholic one? Or a Muslim? Or a Jew?

    Or a queen, king, knight, rook, pawn?


    i.imgur.comView Full Size
  • sammyk: Interesting that FL changed over to a slight lead for Obama on the last day. I think it was around %55 Romney just yesterday now it's %52.5 Obama. This is the only comment he makes "Florida remains too close to call. The FiveThirtyEight forecast has the race there within two-tenths of a percentage point, which would be close enough to trigger an automatic recount." Kind of strange that there is a 7 point swing in one day and that's all that's said. If Obama takes Florida this one will be over early.


    It was a coin-flip yesterday and a coin-flip today. I'm not sure there's much more to say about that.
  • I think Obama will win.

    Sucky thing is, 7% unemployment and trillion dollar deficits, 2% growth is the new America under Democrat rule, and you guys love it. I have a one year old, he will have to contend with 30-40 trillion dollars of US debt by the time he is in college.

    Just too many lazy, stupid young people around, and they breed much faster than working people. Democrats give money to people in exchange for votes, get elected, and the cycle repeats. We are Greece within a decade, but much more heavily armed.
  • VendorXeno: I elected to ignore the pollsters and look at the bookies, people who are the most inclined to be objective. Currently Obama is pretty heavily favored.


    Nate Silver isn't a pollster. He's an aggregator of information who takes polling data and turns it into something useful.
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